When a Ligue 1 side strings together multiple home wins in a row during 2016–17, the bettor’s question is never just “will they win again?” but “is the market pricing this streak fairly, or has it overshot reality?” In a season with 991 goals and 2.61 per match, momentum narratives around home form could either reflect genuine superiority or mask unsustainable variance that was about to reverse. Why Consecutive Home Wins Create a Bettor’s Dilemma Winning streaks attract attention and tighten odds, as bookmakers and public alike begin to treat recent form as predictive of the next result. The psychological…